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Marketmind: Peak inflation, seriously? By Reuters

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Marketmind: Peak inflation, seriously? By Reuters



A look at the day ahead from Dhara Ranasinghe.

News that inflation came off the boil in the United States last month was a win for those in the “inflation is transitory” camp and markets cheered the news too. But not so fast.

Not only was relief in equity and bond markets short-lived but there are plenty of other signs that the inflation debate is far from over.

Take data out this morning in Europe showing British inflation hit a more than nine-year high last month after the biggest monthly jump in the annual rate in at least 24 years.

Graphic: UK inflation surges – https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/gdpzyqqojvw/morningbid1510.png

And for some, Tuesday’s U.S. data perhaps masks the supply shortages and disruptions that are pushing up prices globally.

Michael Every, global strategist at Rabobank put it like this in a note: “You know where else used to have low reported inflation, but no goods on the shelves? It started with US and ended SR.”

In the meantime, investors have other concerns on their mind – notably further signs of a slowdown in the world’s number two economy.

China’s factory and retail sectors faltered last month with output and sales growth hitting one-year lows as fresh coronavirus outbreaks and supply disruptions took a toll.

Adding to China’s woes are nagging concerns about property developer Evergrande. Ratings agency Fitch is warning that numerous sectors could be exposed to heightened credit risk if the firm were to default on its debt, although the impact on the banking sector would be manageable.

Asia shares are down, stock futures suggest European shares will open a touch lower although on a positive note for Wall Street, U.S. stock futures are trading in positive territory.

Key developments that should provide more direction to markets on Wednesday:

– Apple (NASDAQ:)’s new iPhone 13 touts faster 5G, sharper cameras to spur trade-ins

– Japan’s machinery orders rebound in sign of capex recovery

– Euro zone industrial output, employment, wages

– ECB Bond Market contact group annual online conference.

– ECB speakers: Board member Isabel Schnabel, chief economist Philip Lane

– Russian central bank’s governor, Elvira Nabiullina. Speaks at Russian banking forum

– Georgia central bank meeting

– NY Fed manufacturing index/US industrial output

Disclaimer: Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. All CFDs (stocks, indexes, futures) and Forex prices are not provided by exchanges but rather by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual market price, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Therefore Fusion Media doesn`t bear any responsibility for any trading losses you might incur as a result of using this data.

Fusion Media or anyone involved with Fusion Media will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of reliance on the information including data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals contained within this website. Please be fully informed regarding the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, it is one of the riskiest investment forms possible.

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5 Trends Retailers May Not See Coming Until It Is Too Late

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5 Trends Retailers May Not See Coming Until It Is Too Late


On stage at Shoptalk 2019, Shoptalk Founder and then CEO Anil Aggarwal remarked that it is human nature to overestimate the change that should happen in the short-term and to underestimate the change that will happen over the long-term, say over 10 years or more.

And this article is all about the risks associated with the latter.

Make no mistake — the pandemic arrived in 2020 like a bat out of hell, bringing with it a flurry of in-the-moment and much needed innovation across nearly every industry and especially retail. The pace of technological innovation, as has been stated ad nauseam, likely jumped ahead three to five years in just 2020 alone.

Ideas that were once fun to talk about at parties — things like curbside pickup, Instacart deliveries, and social commerce — suddenly became a de rigueur means of survival for nearly every retailer in some form or fashion.

But, that was also the easy stuff. 

While the pace of innovation accelerated under COVID-19, the tea leaves were all there on these innovations before the outbreak began. Smart retailers, like the Amazon
AMZN
s, the Target
TGT
s, the Walmarts
WMT
, the Abertsons, and the Best Buys
BBY
of the world had all been experimenting with many of these very same ideas for the past decade, say nothing of the click-and-collect activity that had already been happening overseas in Europe, too. But, say what one will, it took a pandemic to spur nearly all of them into action, and many retailers, like Macy’s
M
, for example, are still paying the price for being slow to move.

All of which begs the question, going back to Aggarwal’s point above, if these trends were missed by so many, then what trends still lie around the corner 10 years from now that retailers could soon miss again?

What follows is a list of the potential blindspots on the horizon, and, while some of them may seem outlandish and out there, remember it is also human nature to overestimate just how far off they all might actually be.

Trend #1 — Delivery Speed Disintermediation

The arrival of many upstart delivery companies, companies like Buyk, GoPuff, and Gorillas, all promising delivery in 30 minutes or less, is a harbinger of one very important point — namely, that speed of delivery matters.

Amazon owns the majority of U.S. consumer mindshare when it comes to quick, reliable delivery, but even Amazon hasn’t gone so far as say Gorillas, which promises delivery in 10 minutes or less.

And, more importantly, even though Amazon is number one in mindshare, who is number two? 

No one, at least not right now anyway.

But this is the territory to which everyone, from Instacart to DoorDash to the companies just mentioned above, is trying to stake a claim.

The approach to the problem is two-fold: 1) build out the hard infrastructure as a retailer to occupy this space (the approach of GoPuff, for example) or 2) Try to claim it by becoming a marketplace that specializes in “get-it-quick” delivery through an assortment of various lightweight crowdsourced or “gig” options (i.e. the approach of DoorDash and Instacart).

The first path is a difficult and much more treacherous way to reach the summit, while the second path is just a stone’s throw away from your garden variety retailers — your Bed Bath
BBBY
and Beyonds, your CVSs, your Sephoras, or even your local Kroger
KR
grocery stores — continuing to leverage Instacart or DoorDash for third party delivery, thereby enabling DoorDash or Instacart to reverse engineer their way into the hearts and minds of American consumers (if they haven’t already).

The day is coming when Amazon and “another” will emerge to stand atop the quick delivery mountain. The only question that remains is how quickly will the retailers of yesteryear allow tomorrow to happen, while the hard infrastructure types die trying on the backs of billions of dollars in VC funding.

Because the prize of being the number two option is just that large.

Trend #2 — Checkout-Free Stores

The most glaringly obvious example of something that stands to disrupt retail radically over the next 10 years is Amazon Go
AMZN
, and yet so few retailers have paid the concept the attention that it deserves.

Powered by artificial intelligence computer vision (or AICV, for short), Amazon Go lets consumers walk into a store, take whatever they want off the shelves, and “just walk out” and pay in a manner similar to how one pays for an Uber
UBER
or a Lyft.

The experience is great. It means no more standing in lines . . . ever.

Amazon debuted its Amazon Go concept in 2018. The first store was approximately 3,000 square feet. Two years later it expanded the concept to around 10,000 square feet, and then in 2021 it opened up a full scale 20,000 square foot plus grocery store experience, called Amazon Fresh
AMZN
.

In that same period of time, none of the big guys — not Target, not Walmart, not Kroger — have even debuted one public facing experiment with the technology. Whether hubris or downright negligence, this lack of acitivty is downright laughable.

Because there will come a day soon (my prediction = 5 years or less) when Amazon figures out the technology across every categoriy of product out there, and when it does, U.S. retail will never be the same again.

Trend #3 — Real-Time In-Store Pricing and Promotions

When it comes to in-store pricing, most retailers are like Stonehenge. 

Week after week, they print hundreds if not thousands of physical signs for various promotions and assign payroll weeks in advance to put these signs on shelves, only to find out minutes later that they have already been obsoleted by aggressive pricing online or, worse, just fallen off the shelves entirely because little Timmy came by and knocked them all off while shopping for groceries with his mother.

If the above Amazon Go diatribe didn’t scare the pants of the grocery industry, this last point sure as hell should.

Amazon Fresh’s “Just Walk Out” technology is cool, but what’s even cooler over the long-term is Amazon’s use of electronic shelf labels within its Amazon Fresh stores because they mean that Amazon never needs to schedule another print job, another hour of labor, or pick another sign up off the floor ever again.

No, instead, Amazon can price the products in its grocery stores in real-time, at all times, from a centralized location, and that means a whole hell of a lot of bad news for the grocery industry on the promotions front.

It means the world will soon see online flash sales meet in-store grocery shopping because ideas like strategic promotions on the 1st and the 15th of the month, right when people get their paychecks, with very little advanced warning, could one day soon become a reality. 

And every grocer still putting up physical signs will be powerless to stop it. 

Trend #4 — Pickup-Only Warehouse Clubs

This trend is a fun little thought exercise. Ask yourself — what is Costco? 

Well, essentially, it is a large bulk warehouse that asks consumers to act like warehouse pickers and last-mile delivery drivers. The only difference between it and an honest to god warehouse is the needless presence, as mentioned above, of a cashier at the end of the experience.

So, imagine, just imagine that instead of consumers doing the picking out of a large warehouse/store, automation took the place of humans and robots picked and packed orders for customers while they shopped online, and then all the customers would have to do is swing their cars through a few drive through lanes designed for pickup, similar to a Taco Bell or a McDonalds
MCD
.

The seeds of this idea are already upon us, too. 

Target this past year announced the creation of what it is calling “sortation centers,” i.e. mini-warehouses nearer to consumers and that also come equipped with drive through lanes for Shipt’s third-party delivery drivers.

Therefore, it isn’t much of a logic leap from the idea of a sortation center to ask: what if customers can just drive up and pickup from these locations as well? Especially, if they are willing to buy in bulk?

In fact, “leap” probably isn’t even the right word. Something like a “baby step” feels far more appropriate. And even that may still be too small of a reference point.

Trend #5 — Asset-Lite Influencer Retailing

Finally, when one puts his or her hands together on many of the trends just mentioned, one last concept also starts to emerge, and that is the arrival of influencer-based asset-lite physical retailing.

For decades, if not centuries, merchants have ruled the roost at retail companies. 

But, now? Who needs them? 

The influencer has taken over the role as the authority on what people can and should be buying. Which begs the question — why not buy directly from the influencer?

In the online world, it is easy to see how this emerges. Livestreaming, Instagram shopping, etc. all bring this to life, but in the physical world, creating a direct connection like this between the celebrity influencer and one’s fans has almost always necessitated some type of retail partnership because the capital costs of opening up physical stores is too arduous to undertake on one’s own.

Not anymore.

With the arrival of contactless scan-and-go shopping, physical stores will begin to work like a shop on Instagram, only the product is still visible in person but shipped to the consumer to a place of his or her choosing.

It is not unlike the glimpse Amazon gave into this world with its GH Lab experiment with Good Housekeeping back in 2018 at the Mall of America. See video below:

There one took out his or her mobile phone, scanned a barcode to buy anything that he or she liked, and was immediately ported into the Amazon app to coordinate delivery.

This example is important because it breaks down our construct of what and who a retailer is and because it shows that from whom people actually buy is far less important than from whom they think they are buying (i.e. the storefront).  

Or, said another way, this is one of the reasons Toys R Us is no longer the authority on toys in America, for that title now belongs to some kid named Ryan who unboxes toys to the tune of $30 million per year on YouTube. 

And with just a few properly placed mentors to guide him along the way and the right technology at his back, who is to say Ryan couldn’t build out his very own toy empire, in a similar manner to GH Lab, one new, working capital-light store at a time.

This is the future that is coming. To underestimate it or overestimate it is every retailer’s choice. 

But, then again, no one ever went out of business from being too prepared for the future.



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Police find body ‘consistent with’ Gabby Petito in Wyoming By Reuters

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Police find body ‘consistent with’ Gabby Petito in Wyoming By Reuters


© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Gabrielle Petito, 22, who was reported missing on Sept. 11, 2021 after traveling with her boyfriend around the country in a van and never returned home, is shown in this undated handout photo. North Port/Florida Police/Handout via REUTERS

By Dan Whitcomb and Maria Caspani

(Reuters) -Crews searching a national park in Wyoming for missing Gabby Petito found a body “consistent” with the 22-year-old woman in a remote area on Sunday but have not yet made a formal identification, the FBI said.

Petito was reported missing after her boyfriend, Brian Laundrie, returned home from a months long cross-country trip without her on Sept. 1. Laundrie, 23, has been named a “person of interest” in the case.

“Earlier today human remains were discovered consistent with Gabrielle Petito,” FBI spokesman Charles Jones told reporters at a press conference.

“Full forensic identification has not been completed to confirm 100% that we found Gabby, but her family has been notified of this discovery,” Jones said, adding that the cause of death was yet to be determined.

The Teton County Coroner’s Office said earlier on Sunday that they had been called to retrieve a body from a national forest. Medical examiners there were expected to perform an autopsy which might lead to identification.

Law enforcement officials declined to release any further information.

Gabby’s father, Joseph Petito, posted a photograph of his daughter on Twitter (NYSE:) following Sunday’s press conference. The photo, which shows Gabby standing between two painted wings, was captioned: “She touched the world”

Laundrie returned alone to North Port, Florida, on Sept. 1 in the white van the couple had been driving across the country since June.

On Friday family members of Laundrie told investigators that they had not seen him in three days.

Since then, local police and FBI agents have been combing a 25,000 acre wilderness preserve near North Port but have found no sign of him.

Petito and Laundrie left her home state of New York on their road trip in June, heading west in the van with plans to visit national parks along the way. They documented the trip on social media.

Petito posted her last photo on Aug. 25. Her family believes she was headed to Grand Teton National Park in Wyoming when they last heard from her. Before disappearing, Laundrie had refused to speak with investigators and retained a lawyer.

Petito was last seen leaving a hotel in Salt Lake City, Utah.

Disclaimer: Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. All CFDs (stocks, indexes, futures) and Forex prices are not provided by exchanges but rather by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual market price, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Therefore Fusion Media doesn`t bear any responsibility for any trading losses you might incur as a result of using this data.

Fusion Media or anyone involved with Fusion Media will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of reliance on the information including data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals contained within this website. Please be fully informed regarding the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, it is one of the riskiest investment forms possible.

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Elon Musk mocks President Biden after SpaceX completes first all-civilian mission

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Elon Musk mocks President Biden after SpaceX completes first all-civilian mission


SpaceX CEO Elon Musk poses with the crew before launch on September 15, 2021.

John Kraus / Inspiration4

After SpaceX completed a historic, private spaceflight on Saturday, CEO Elon Musk took a pot shot at President Joe Biden who had yet to remark on the company’s and the civilian flight crew’s accomplishments.

One of Musk’s 60 million followers on the social networking platform Twitter asked him, “The President of the United States has refused to even acknowledge the 4 newest American astronauts who helped raise hundreds of millions of dollars for St. Jude. What’s your theory on why that is?”

Musk replied, “He’s still sleeping.”

As CNBC previously reported, SpaceX safely returned its Crew Dragon spacecraft from orbit yesterday. The capsule carried the four members of the Inspiration4 mission back to Earth after three days in space.

One major goal of the Inspiration4 mission was to raise $200 million for St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital. It had raised $160.2 million by Saturday. Celebrating after Inspiration4 splashed down, Musk pledged to contribute $50 million personally — pushing the campaign’s total raised to $210 million.

The White House and SpaceX did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Top NASA officials have congratulated Musk and SpaceX on the Inspiration4 mission. SpaceX competitors acknowledged it too, with accolades from Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Blue Origin and Musk’s peer and rival Jeff Bezos shared on social media.

This marked the first private SpaceX spaceflight, with a non-professional crew. Additionally, the mission involved the first Black woman to serve as a spacecraft pilot, the youngest American to become an astronaut to date, and the first person to fly in space with a prosthesis.

Although Musk recently stated that he “would prefer to stay out of politics,” his quip on Sunday indicated a willingness to needle the Democratic president and repeat a right-wing taunt about Biden.

During his 2020 campaign, former President Donald Trump frequently insulted then-candidate Biden by calling him “Sleepy Joe.”

More recently, Trump sent Biden sarcastic well-wishes ahead of a summit with Russian President Vladimir Putin in June. He said in an e-mailed statement at the time, “Good luck to Biden in dealing with President Putin— don’t fall asleep during the meeting, and please give him my warmest regards!”

SpaceX generally enjoys a good relationship with the federal government. For example, it won a $2.89 billion contract to build NASA’s next crewed lunar lander, beating out Jeff Bezos’ Blue Origin and Leidos subsidiary Dynetics, and SpaceX has flown 10 astronauts to the ISS for NASA to date. 

However, SpaceX is also under investigation by the Department of Justice after accusations that it discriminated against job applicants based on citizenship status — a probe that began during the Trump administration.

In addition to his responsibilities at SpaceX, Musk is concurrently the CEO of electric vehicle makers Tesla. (Tesla is also a supplier to SpaceX.)

In that capacity, he recently bemoaned a Biden administration proposal that would allocate an extra $4,500 in incentives to buyers of certain, new electric light-duty passenger vehicles. One stipulation of the proposal is that electric vehicles should be union-made, domestically.

While the company operates a battery factory in Nevada, and a vehicle assembly plant in California already, with another under construction outside of Austin, Texas, Tesla is the only major U.S. automaker whose production is not unionized here.

Musk said, on Twitter on September 12, of the proposal: “This is written by Ford/UAW lobbyists, as they make their electric car in Mexico. Not obvious how this serves American taxpayers.”

In Cars.com’s annual American Made Index for 2021, Tesla’s popular Model 3 electric sedan topped the rankings, and its crossover Model Y landed in third place.



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